Vint Cerf discusses the new protocols needed to build an , which can send data vast distances without being disturbed by latency. He seems to dismiss population contraction as not necessarily worth worrying about, which may be true, but more likely is not. Friedman accepts global warming as a scientific fact yet downplays its role into the future by suggesting that the end of population explosion alternative energy sources will make the issue moot. He makes a pretty compelling case, actually. Pearson spoke of the male-dominated economy coming to an end.
Let's take a Proustian moment and beat it to death with words. Poland will hold back Russia and block Turkish advances into Europe. Evans notes that multiterabit networks using lasers are being explored. There would be almost no mountain glaciers left in temperate latitudes, Greenland would give up all of its ice and Antarctica would give up almost 45 meters worth of sea level rise, the study suggests. Large-scale genomic sequencing and machine learning will allow us to understand the root cause of cancer, heart disease and neurodegenerative disease and what to do about it. Why I finished it: Friedman was very clear on his logic and his assumptions which made them more believable.
The United States has been likened to a teenager. And problems continue in the weaker economies like Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain. But recycling is no panacea for. We do not wait for a press release from China to know they launched a rocket. Europe reigned supreme for 500 years. This was an interesting book in which the author attempts to predict what will happen in the world over the next 100 years.
During this period, Mexico will experience substantial and population growth. The finest statesman ruling Iceland will not dominate the world; the stupidest ruling ancient Rome could not undermine its power. I think it has a much better chance of being a signficiant player in the 21st century than does China, but the author hardly even mentions it. وسيؤدي ذلك إلى اندلاع الحرب العالمية الثالثة والتي ستكون تبدأ في الفضاء ثم ستنتقل إلى الأرض، ووضع لها فريدمان تفاصيل مدهشة، وعرضها بطريقة مثيرة تجعل من يقرأها يعتقد أنه يشاهد واحدا من أفلام الخيال العلمي الهوليوودية!! The most difficult is the complexity of dealing with any topic beyond the window of 5 years. The book's greatest virtue is that it looks critically at a number of commonly-held beliefs about the future particularly in regard to China's future power. First and foremost, both assume the parties are rational and will act in their own short-term self-interest.
Eurasia, broadly understood, is being hollowed out. The human race is reproducing too much, however because of the increase in populous, we will exacerbate many critical environmental systems to the point where they can no longer function. For last sixty years it has been either occupied or trying to craft a federation that would make the return of war impossible. Geopolitics tends not to take policies or politicians very seriously, seeing them as trapped in reality. Our purchase of Alaska and the annexation of Hawaii gave us our satellite buffers to our west and the Monroe Doctrine security to the east. Tahle kniha se pro mě dělí na tři zásadně odlišné části: první čtyři kapitoly jsou velmi čtivé a pro mě plné zajímavých informací a myšlenek, je to vlastně rekapitulace historie, vytvoření základů pro výhledy do budoucna; druhá část cca kapitoly 4-8 jsou již výhled do budoucna, ale stále velmi věrohodný a uvěřitelný - ostatně něco už prožíváme dnes Rusko a člověk si určitě přeje, aby v tomto měl Friedman pravdu kolaps Ruska , ale od kapitoly 9 a dál je to už pro mě dost velké sci-fi.
First, it seems a bit presumptuous to anticipate the kind of technological progress that human kind will bring in 80 years from now, while nobody had imagined the upcoming importance of internet 25 years ago for instance. It's a book that speculates the future by using history, trends and by applying the decline and fall of Europe as the centerpiece and its replacement the United States as its model. After 1991, the sole global power in the world was the United States, which had become the center of the international system. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, there was no longer a single European nation that could be considered a global power of the first rank. Ironically, the things I like most about this book make me want to rate it a four. I too suspect that China 'may' be a paper dragon but to sideline it in the way he has is very suspicious.
You have to buy Reaganomics, you have to buy that this crash of 2008 was just a blip, and we still have prosperity for a real crash 20 some years from now, and nowhere does he take into account peak oil having anything to do with future economic woes. An interesting book, but the perspective is far too traditional in my opinion. Communications, navigation and intelligence are already space-based. To prevent Polish hegemony in Europe, the United States will ally with its former enemies Japan and Turkey, as well as Britain, to prevent Poland from dominating Eurasia, and will prevent Poland from making use of space for military purposes. In conjunction with a Centennial Celebration, the 17th annual took place in Hong Kong on September 26-27 under the theme of The Next Century. The focus of this book is geopolitics. That part was well worth reading and seemed fairly plausible.
I also kept thinking of a vastly different interpretation of those events. About every 70 years there is an economic failure followed by a war. But if the worst were to happen, one way we could ensure the survival of the human race is to have a colony on another planet, such as Mars. They represent tens of trillions of new dollars flowing into the global economy. Watch out for Mexico - no really, they may be our only real competitor over the long run. This will make the planet an uncomfortable place, particular for rising powers.
. I don't have that much faith in this guy, and so when he talks about our forthcoming Space War With Turkey And Japan, I feel like I'm reading weird geo-political fan-fiction. At a certain level, when it comes to the future, the only thing one can be sure of is that common sense will be wrong. Rational actors: leaders of nations will make the only logical choice they have. Image: courtesy of the National Museum of Health and Medicine, Armed Forces Institute of Pathology, Washington, D. First, we are asked to accept geopolitical analysis, then we are asked to accept that George Friedman's analysis using geopolitics is accurate, and that his angle is the only one that counts.